Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Platense		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.75	2.7	Watch
	2.92	2.62	2.92	Watch
	3.05	2.72	2.97
	3.03	2.66	2.88
	2.8	2.63	2.8
	2.88	2.88	2.88	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.7)	2.72 ↓ (2.8)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
32.5%

Draw
34.5%

Vélez Sársfield
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

33.1%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

33.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	91.7%	8.3%

Platense - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Platense (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Borgogno M. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 31. Victor Cuesta 38. Ingenthron C. 15. Amarfil M. 5. Gomez I. 43. Retamar K. 10. Zapiola F. 33. Gauto J. 99. Lencina G.	12. Montero A. (G) 32. Silvero T. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 29. Aliendro R. 8. Robertone L. 50. Andrada T. 22. Lanzini M. 15. Godoy D. 23. Monzon F.
Substitutes
24. Barrios M. 47. Bosch B. 17. Bussio F. 23. Heredia L. 4. Lagos A. 21. Lotti A. 7. Mainero G. 34. Mendia M. 18. Merlini B. 9. Nasif T. 6. Raggio E. 22. Sumavil N. (G)	35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 49. Dominguez D. 48. Feler L. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 11. Pellegrini M. 47. Pereyra A. 14. Pineiro R. 6. Quiros A. 9. Romero B. 10. Valdes D. 17. Veron A.
Coaches
Zunino W.	Barros Schelotto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Monzon F. ⚽, Godoy D. (A),
15', Robertone L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Robertone L. ⚽, Godoy D. (A),
54', Amarfil M. 🟨,
63', Amarfil M. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
63', Zapiola F. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
68', Godoy D. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
70', Retamar K. ↓, Mainero G. ↑,
70', Lencina G. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
79', Ingenthron C. ↓, Bosch B. ↑,
79', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
79', Lanzini M. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
84', Robertone L. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
90+1', Romero B. 🟨,
90+5', Gomez E. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 2.

Platense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vélez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Knee Injury) Bobadilla H. (Muscle Injury) Dalmasso S. (Inactive) Goni G. (Muscle Injury) Minerva F. (Muscle Injury) Nasif T. (Inactive) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury) Quiros S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S. (Inactive) Garcia J. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Inactive) Pellegrini M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Vélez: Robertone L. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Platense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Vélez Sársfield - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Platense	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Platense	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Platense - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Boca Juniors - Platense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTTWT
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.26	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.07.25	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
28.01.25	Vélez Sársfield - Platense	0:1
25.07.24	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	0:2
13.03.23	Vélez Sársfield - Platense	1:1
12.06.22	Vélez Sársfield - Platense	0:1
10.12.21	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	3:2

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