The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Banga Gargždai 62.7%
Draw 21%
FA Šiauliai 16.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65%
20.4%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
15.5%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
FA Šiauliai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Banga Gargždai that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Banga Gargždai - FA Šiauliai Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Krynskyi V. (G) 3. Malzinskas D. 27. Henning R. 6. Simao J. 51. Cadu 45. Sato M. 11. Filipavicius R. 13. Zebrauskas N. (C) 99. Olugbogi A. 30. Cande U. 9. Appiah A.
61. Baliutavicius G. (C) 11. Novikovas A. 5. Kersys K. 50. Bierontas E. 33. Vukovic L. 23. Benny Silva 41. Gustas K. 6. Hasanovic D. 32. Micevicius G. 19. Ikaunieks D. 24. Naah D.
Substitutes
17. Andrejev M. 19. Antuzis V. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 20. Levsinas A. 28. Lukas D. 7. Norvilas D. 77. Venckus I. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G)
8. Baftalovskyi A. 29. Dovydaitis D. 7. Garbaliauskas N. 51. Gestautas G. 17. Hadzibeganovic H. 27. Jarasius D. 12. Linkevicius P. (G) 13. Romanovskij D. 66. Valuckas A.
Coaches
Marques Afonso D.
Lastauskas D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Vukovic L. 🟨,
45', Cande U. 🟨,
45+1', Gestautas G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Gustas K. ↓, Baftalovskyi A. ↑,
62', Novikovas A. ↓, Romanovskij D. ↑,
75', Sato M. ↓, Venckus I. ↑,
89', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Banga (last 5 matches: 1 win).
FA Šiauliai is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Banga may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Banga carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Banga has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:23 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Banga against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:11 goals (averaging 1.1:1.2 per game).