Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Thammasat Stadium (Rangsit)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Bangkok United		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.9	3.65	1.55
	6.84	3.75	1.56
	6.21	3.55	1.61	Watch
	5.75	3.3	1.53
	6.02	3.75	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (4.02)	3.6 ↓ (3.83)	1.56 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangkok United
15.1%

Draw
25.7%

Gamba Osaka
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

24.4%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

22.8%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangkok United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangkok United's form might have worsened.

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gamba Osaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangkok United than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangkok United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Bangkok United - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: Gamba Osaka will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khammai P. (G) 36. Praisuwan J. 5. Maia P. 3. Everton (C) 24. Jarunongkran W. 97. Alhaft I. 27. Pomphan W. 8. Imura W. 10. Dangda T. 16. Al Ghassani M. 18. Puangchan T.	1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 5. Miura G. 19. Ikegaya G. 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. (C) 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 11. Jebali I. 97. Welton 23. Hummet D.
Substitutes
70. Arthur 4. Bihr M. 20. Keereeleang G. 99. Kongsri P. 33. Kosovic N. 23. Lee Ki-Je 29. Pholsongkram P. (G) 11. Poomchantuek R. 77. Rivaldinho 6. Selanon N. 26. Thongsong S. 30. Zivkovic R.	18. Araki R. (G) 10. Kurata S. 8. Meshino R. 42. Minamino H. 33. Nakano S. 38. Nawata G. 44. Okunuki K. 16. Suzuki T. 40. Toyama S. 7. Usami T. 36. Yamamoto T. 31. Zhang A. (G)
Coaches
Sripan T.	Wissing J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Yamashita R. ⚽,
20', Abe S. 🟨,
32', Puangchan T. ↓, Kosovic N. ↑,
38', Dangda T. 🟨,
39', Jebali I. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 0 - 2, Jebali I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Welton ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
54', Hatsuse R. 🟨,
64', Jarunongkran W. ↓, Lee Ki-Je ↑,
64', Al Ghassani M. ↓, Rivaldinho ↑,
65', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
72', Hatsuse R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
72', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
73', Praisuwan J. ↓, Zivkovic R. ↑,
73', Dangda T. ↓, Arthur ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Meshino R. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
84', Zivkovic R. 🟨,
87', Yamashita R. ↓, Yamamoto T. ↑,
87', Arthur 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Gamba Osaka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bangkok United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangkok United
Thai League 1
11.04.26	Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
08.04.26	Gamba Osaka - Bangkok United	0:1 ✺
Thai League 1
03.04.26	Bangkok United - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Prachuap - Bangkok United	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Bangkok United - Thai Port	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.2 LWWTT
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Gamba Osaka - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
08.04.26	Gamba Osaka - Bangkok United	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
04.04.26	Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka	3:2 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
08.04.26	Gamba Osaka - Bangkok United	0:1

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