The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gamba Osaka 38%
Draw 28.2%
Cerezo Osaka 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
27%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
26.1%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
63.6%
9.1%
Gamba Osaka - Cerezo Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 3. Handa R. 5. Miura G. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 21. Hatsuse R. 16. Suzuki T. 10. Kurata S. 17. Yamashita R. 38. Nawata G. 97. Welton 23. Hummet D.
23. Nakamura K. (G) 16. Okuda H. 4. Inoue R. 44. Hatanaka S. 66. Ohata A. 17. Sakata R. 18. Ishiwatari N. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 11. Thiago Andrade 13. Nakajima M. 48. Shibayama M.
Substitutes
13. Abe S. 18. Araki R. (G) 11. Jebali I. 15. Kishimoto T. 8. Meshino R. 42. Minamino H. 47. Nakano S. 44. Okunuki K. 40. Toyama S.
27. Cools D. 8. Kagawa S. 5. Kida H. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 6. Noborizato K. 9. Sakuragawa S. 7. Uejo S. 14. Yokoyama Y. 35. Yoshino K.
Coaches
Wissing J.
Papas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Okuda H. 🟨,
13', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
29', Kurata S. 🟨,
35', Handa R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
40', 0 - 1, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Tanaka S. (A),
45', Sakata R. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nawata G. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
46', Kurata S. ↓, Abe S. ↑,
54', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
62', Thiago Andrade ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
62', Okuda H. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
71', Hummet D. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Welton ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
84', Minamino H. 🟨,
86', Nakajima M. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
86', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
90+2', Yamashita R. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ichimori J.
(Finger Injury)
Sasaki S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Knee Injury)
Usami T.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 1:2.2).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Cerezo Osaka: 1.92% Gamba Osaka: 0.71%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Cerezo Osaka
4
2
0
2
3:5
-2
6
12
Gamba Osaka
4
1
2
1
6:7
-1
5
Last Results with these Odds
Gamba Osaka - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.36%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
China
Japan
World
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Higashiguchi M. (G) 
Welton 
Hummet D. 
Jebali I. 
Cools D. 
Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 
Wissing J. 
Papas A. 
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