The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Machida Zelvia 52.7%
Draw 26.8%
Gamba Osaka 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.1%
25.2%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
23.9%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63%
11.1%
25.9%
Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 17 - 63%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 44.8% โ 81.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 50. Okamura D. 4. Kikuchi R. 3. Shoji G. 6. Mochizuki H. 16. Mae H. 19. Nakayama Y. 26. Hayashi K. 20. Nishimura T. 10. Na Sang-Ho 9. Fujio S.
22. Ichimori J. (G) 5. Miura G. 20. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 3. Handa R. 16. Suzuki T. 44. Okunuki K. 47. Juan Alano 51. Mitsuta M. 23. Hummet D. 7. Usami T.
Substitutes
5. Dresevic I. 15. Duke M. 31. Lavi N. 11. Masuyama A. 13. Morita T. (G) 22. Numata T. 90. Oh Se-Hun 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H.
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 4. Kurokawa K. 8. Meshino R. 42. Minamino H. 27. Mito R. 38. Nawata G. 97. Welton
Coaches
Kuroda G.
Poyatos D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Shoji G. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Fujio S. 🟨,
56', Okunuki K. ↓, Welton ↑,
59', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
59', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Welton (A),
75', Juan Alano ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Hayashi K. ⚽,
79', Mae H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
81', Fukuoka S. ↓, Kurokawa K. ↑,
82', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Nishimura T. (Pen),
90+5', Nakayama Y. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
90+5', Nishimura T. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).
Machida Zelvia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Gamba Osaka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Machida Zelvia is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Soma Y.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Abe S.
(Red Card)
Higashiguchi M.
(Health problems)
Jebali I.
(Yellow Cards)
Yamashita R.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
Nishimura T.
(Inactive)
We predict that Machida Zelvia will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
China
Japan
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Tani K. (G) 
Na Sang-Ho 
Juan Alano 
Hummet D. 
Dresevic I. 
Duke M. 
Lavi N. 
Poyatos D. 
