Match Info

J1 League - Round 9

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Gamba Osaka		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.82	Watch
	2.48	3.59	2.9
	2.37	3.48	2.91	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.26	3.59	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.33)	3.46 ↓ (3.57)	2.87 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
40.1%

Draw
27.2%

Kyoto Sanga
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.2%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gamba Osaka (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 3. Handa R. 5. Miura G. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 11. Jebali I. 97. Welton 23. Hummet D.	1. Ota G. (C) 2. Fukuda S. 50. Suzuki Y. 34. Henrique Trevisan 22. Sugai H. 6. Joao Pedro 25. Yoon S. 18. Matsuda T. 7. Okugawa M. 11. Marco Tulio 77. Arai H.
Substitutes
18. Araki R. (G) 19. Ikegaya G. 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 8. Meshino R. 42. Minamino H. 38. Nawata G. 16. Suzuki T. 40. Toyama S.	3. Asada S. 16. Hiraoka T. 39. Hirato T. 99. Honda F. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 48. Nakano R. 29. Sakai K. 44. Sato K. 17. Souza Alex
Coaches
Wissing J.	Jo Gwi-Jae

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Jebali I. (Penalty Awarded),
11', Welton 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Hummet D. ⚽,
18', Sugai H. 🟨,
37', Matsuda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Welton ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
46', Matsuda T. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
56', Arai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
61', Yoon S. ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
61', Okugawa M. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
65', Jebali I. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
74', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
74', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Meshino R. ⚽, Handa R. (A),
76', Sugai H. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
84', Souza Alex 🟨,
85', Yamashita R. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S. (Hamstring Injury) Ichimori J. (Finger Injury) Nakano S. (Hamstring Injury) Uenaka A. (Knee Injury) Usami T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Knee Injury) Rafael Elias (Injury)

There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S. (Hamstring Injury) Yokoi Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kyoto: 1.57% Gamba Osaka: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
21.03.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka	3:2 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.03.26	Ratchaburi - Gamba Osaka	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
08.03.26	Gamba Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
22.03.26	Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 penalties ✺
18.03.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
28.06.25	Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka	3:1
29.04.25	Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	2:1
22.09.24	Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka	2:2
03.04.24	Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	0:0
08.07.23	Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
Japan J League Cup
24.05.23	Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
Japan J1 League
15.04.23	Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka	2:1

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