The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avispa Fukuoka 36.5%
Draw 29.1%
Gamba Osaka 34.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.2%
28.7%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
28%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
30%
20%
Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19% โ 81%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - under (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Obata Y. (G) 16. Oka T. 5. Kamijima T. (C) 15. Tsujioka Y. 2. Yuzawa M. 55. Maeda K. 11. Miki T. 29. Maejima Y. 6. Shigemi M. 25. Kitajima Y. 13. Morooka S.
22. Ichimori J. (G) 28. Fujiwara S. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 2. Fukuoka S. 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 7. Usami T. 97. Welton 41. Toshida Y.
Substitutes
47. Hashimoto Y. 38. Miya D. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 14. Nago S. 34. Shiihashi K. 52. Takemoto S. 37. Tashiro M. 9. Werik Popo 33. Yamawaki K.
20. Adams E. 1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 11. Jebali I. 15. Kishimoto T. 8. Meshino R. 47. Nakano S. 24. Ogashiwa T. 67. Sasaki S. 16. Suzuki T.
Coaches
Tsukahara S.
Myojin T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Tsujioka Y. 🟨,
44', Maeda K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Yuzawa M. 🟨,
50', 0 - 1, Welton ⚽, Yamashita R. (A),
63', Yuzawa M. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
63', Kitajima Y. ↓, Takemoto S. ↑,
72', Toshida Y. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
75', Shigemi M. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Hashimoto Y. ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Usami T. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
79', Welton ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
84', Usami T. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
84', Fujiwara S. ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
87', Mito R. 🟨,
90+1', Tsujioka Y. ↓, Miya D. ↑,
90+2', Maejima Y. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 17th and 18th in the Relegation - J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Gamba Osaka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Gamba Osaka: Handa R.
(Knee Injury)
Miura G.
(Knee Injury)
Okunuki K.
(Foot Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Knee Injury)
Yokoi Y.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Avispa Fukuoka has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:16 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Avispa Fukuoka against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 0.9:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Avispa Fukuoka
9
2
1
6
11:13
-2
7
18
Gamba Osaka
10
1
4
5
10:18
-8
7
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Gamba Osaka: 0.6% Avispa Fukuoka: 0.34%
Last Results with these Odds
Gamba Osaka - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.1%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Obata Y. (G) 
Welton 
Adams E. 
Jebali I. 
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