Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Thammasat Stadium (Rangsit)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Bangkok United		Macarthur FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.45	2.42
	2.6	3.68	2.49
	2.62	3.74	2.38	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.38
	2.57	3.58	2.46	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.04)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	2.43 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangkok United
36.1%

Draw
25.9%

Macarthur FC
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

25.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

24.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangkok United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangkok United's form might have worsened.

Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Macarthur FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangkok United than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangkok United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Macarthur FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Bangkok United - Macarthur FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bangkok United will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Macarthur will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangkok United (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bangkok United (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangkok United (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khammai P. (G) 36. Praisuwan J. 5. Maia P. 3. Everton (C) 24. Jarunongkran W. 27. Pomphan W. 18. Puangchan T. 97. Alhaft I. 33. Kosovic N. 37. Autra P. 77. Rivaldinho	12. Kurto F. (G) 25. Talbot C. 3. Da Silva D. 6. Uskok T. 18. Scott W. 22. Rose L. 26. Brattan L. (C) 9. Ikonomidis C. 10. Caceres A. 7. Grzan S. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
16. Al Ghassani M. 39. Anan P. 21. Arhan P. 70. Arthur 4. Bihr M. 10. Dangda T. 8. Imura W. 20. Keereeleang G. 29. Pholsongkram P. (G) 11. Poomchantuek R. 6. Selanon N. 26. Thongsong S.	24. Bosnjak D. 13. Duran R. 5. Jurman M. 32. McKay W. 17. Randazzo O. 1. Robinson A. (G) 28. Sawyer H. 8. Vickery L.
Coaches
Sripan T.	Sterjovski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Rivaldinho ↓, Al Ghassani M. ↑,
34', Maia P. 🟨,
35', Talbot C. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Alhaft I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Duke M. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
52', Caceres A. 🟨,
60', Grzan S. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
60', Ikonomidis C. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
63', Jarunongkran W. 🟨,
65', Alhaft I. ↓, Arthur ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Arthur ⚽,
72', Da Silva D. ↓, Jurman M. ↑,
77', Jarunongkran W. ↓, Bihr M. ↑,
77', Kosovic N. ↓, Anan P. ↑,
77', Autra P. ↓, Dangda T. ↑,
82', Rose L. ↓, Randazzo O. ↑,
89', Randazzo O. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Bangkok United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Macarthur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangkok United
ASEAN Club Championship
05.02.26	Bangkok United - Shan United	2:1 ✺
Thai League 1
01.02.26	Buriram United - Bangkok United	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bangkok United - Chonburi	1:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
21.01.26	Khonkaen United - Bangkok United	3:2 penalties ✺
Thai League 1
18.01.26	Pathum United - Bangkok United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWLW
- Macarthur FC
Australian A-League
06.02.26	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Adelaide United - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Macarthur FC - Melbourne City	6:2 ✺
17.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Macarthur FC - Sydney	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWTL

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