Match Info

A-League - Round 19

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Elder D. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Macarthur FC		Western Sydney Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.38	3.7	2.62	Watch
	2.51	3.85	2.7
	2.45	3.77	2.68	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.63
	2.4	3.69	2.91	Watch
	2.26	3.65	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.24)	3.68 ↑ (3.57)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macarthur FC
39.4%

Draw
25.7%

Western Sydney Wanderers
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

24.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Macarthur (2.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Macarthur (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robinson A. (G) 25. Talbot C. 6. Uskok T. 3. Da Silva D. 18. Scott W. 26. Brattan L. (C) 22. Rose L. 8. Vickery L. 10. Caceres A. 24. Bosnjak D. 15. Duke M.	20. Thomas L. (C) 14. Cancar P. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 18. Farrell J. 3. Gersbach A. 8. Ugarkovic S. 5. Scicluna D. 32. Thurgate A. 23. Kraev B. 26. Borrello B. 7. Fraser R.
Substitutes
13. Duran R. 9. Ikonomidis C. 12. Kurto F. (G) 32. McKay W. 14. Popovic K. 17. Randazzo O. 28. Sawyer H.	9. Barbarouses K. 25. Brillante J. 17. Carluccio J. 21. Hammond A. 30. Holmes J. (G) 11. Ibusuki H. 52. Waraga A.
Coaches
Sterjovski M.	van Egmond G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Ugarkovic S. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Kraev B. ⚽, Borrello B. (A),
36', Uskok T. ↓, Ikonomidis C. ↑,
43', 0 - 3, Fraser R. ⚽,
45+4', Duke M. 🟨,
45+4', Farrell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Bosnjak D. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
65', Rose L. 🟨,
69', Cancar P. 🟨,
70', 0 - 4, Borrello B. ⚽, Scicluna D. (A),
74', Cancar P. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
75', Fraser R. ↓, Hammond A. ↑,
79', Scicluna D. ↓, Brillante J. ↑,
79', Borrello B. ↓, Barbarouses K. ↑,
83', Talbot C. ↓, McKay W. ↑,
83', Vickery L. ↓, Duran R. ↑,
83', Brattan L. ↓, Randazzo O. ↑,
87', Kraev B. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 2.

Recent form of Macarthur has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Western Sydney has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Western Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Macarthur: Ji Dong-Won (Ankle Injury) Oliveira B. (Injury) Oliveira H. (Inactive) Politidis H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Western Sydney: Barrie N. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.9:2).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Macarthur FC: 8.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	WS Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Macarthur FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macarthur FC
Australian A-League
22.02.26	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
19.02.26	Macarthur FC - Bangkok United	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Bangkok United - Macarthur FC	2:0 ✺
Australian A-League
06.02.26	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Adelaide United - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLTT
- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
22.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sydney - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
01.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC	0:1
01.11.25	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1
03.05.25	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:3
16.02.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC	2:1
01.01.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC	2:3
01.04.24	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:3
04.02.24	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:3

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