Match Info

A-League - Round 14

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Singapore	SPOTV 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV 2


	Macarthur FC		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.98	3.25	2.32	Watch
	3.14	3.45	2.38
	3.04	3.42	2.35	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.28	3.33	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	2.31 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macarthur FC
30.4%

Draw
28.7%

Melbourne City
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27.7%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.2%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Macarthur FC - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Macarthur (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Macarthur (2.21) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

EH +1 - Macarthur (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Macarthur (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Melbourne City (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Macarthur FC will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Melbourne City (votes: 5 - 27.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kurto F. (G) 25. Talbot C. 3. Da Silva D. 6. Uskok T. 18. Scott W. 22. Rose L. 26. Brattan L. (C) 8. Vickery L. 10. Caceres A. 7. Grzan S. 15. Duke M.	1. Beach P. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 22. Ferreyra G. 4. Bonetig L. 16. Behich A. (C) 19. Schreiber Z. 21. Lopane A. 8. Teague R. 20. Mazzeo B. 17. Caputo M. 35. Memeti M.
Substitutes
24. Bosnjak D. 9. Ikonomidis C. 5. Jurman M. 32. McKay W. 17. Randazzo O. 1. Robinson A. (G) 28. Sawyer H.	10. Kanamori T. 44. Kutleshi B. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 36. Shillington H. 26. Souprayen S. 41. Wong L. 28. Younis M.
Coaches
Sterjovski M.	Vidmar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Duke M. ⚽, Scott W. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Brattan L. ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Memeti M. ⚽, Atkinson N. (A),
34', 3 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Talbot C. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Caputo M. ↓, Kutleshi B. ↑,
46', Schreiber Z. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
46', Brattan L. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
55', Duke M. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
60', Lopane A. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
60', Mazzeo B. ↓, Younis M. ↑,
62', 4 - 1, Vickery L. ⚽, Sawyer H. (A),
67', Atkinson N. 🟨,
68', Ferreyra G. ↓, Souprayen S. ↑,
70', 5 - 1, Bosnjak D. ⚽, Scott W. (A),
72', Vickery L. ↓, Ikonomidis C. ↑,
73', Younis M. 🟨,
84', 5 - 2, Younis M. ⚽, Memeti M. (A),
89', Caceres A. ↓, Randazzo O. ↑,
89', Grzan S. ↓, McKay W. ↑,
90+1', Bosnjak D. 🟨,
90+2', Sawyer H. 🟨,
90+2', Souprayen S. 🟨,
90+3', 6 - 2, Sawyer H. ⚽, Ikonomidis C. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.

Melbourne City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Macarthur: Ji Dong-Won (Ankle Injury) Oliveira H. (Inactive) Politidis H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T. (Groin Injury) Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Ochsenham D. (Inactive) Rahmani K. (Inactive) Rashani E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Macarthur: Oliveira B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Melbourne City: Nabbout A. (Injury) Trewin K. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Melbourne City: 12.26% Macarthur FC: 8%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Macarthur FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macarthur FC
Australian A-League
17.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Macarthur FC - Sydney	0:3 ✺
05.01.26	Macarthur FC - Auckland FC	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLTWW
- Melbourne City
Australian A-League
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Melbourne City - Sydney	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
23.12.25	Melbourne City - Macarthur FC	1:1
07.03.25	Melbourne City - Macarthur FC	2:0
25.01.25	Macarthur FC - Melbourne City	1:0
01.03.24	Macarthur FC - Melbourne City	2:0
11.11.23	Melbourne City - Macarthur FC	3:3
19.03.23	Macarthur FC - Melbourne City	1:1
04.02.23	Melbourne City - Macarthur FC	6:1

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