Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 16

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Bangor		Newry City

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	7
	1.3	5.5	7.5
	1.34	5.5	7.3	Watch
	1.33	5	6
	1.28	5.4	7.55
	1.3	5.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)	5.36 ↑ (5)	7.14 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangor
70.1%

Draw
17.1%

Newry City
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

17.4%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Newry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Bangor - Newry City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Arthurs B. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, McGuinness S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 3 - 0, Harrison L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Bangor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Newry City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bangor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bangor is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bangor to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bangor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 3:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Championship
12.11.24	Limavady United - Bangor	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Dundela - Bangor	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
05.11.24	Bangor - Cliftonville	0:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
01.11.24	Bangor - Ballyclare Comrades	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Bangor - Annagh United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW
- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
08.11.24	Newry City - Armagh City	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Newry City - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Newry City - Newington	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Institute FC - Newry City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
06.09.24	Newry City - Bangor	4:5
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.20	Newry City - Bangor	3:1

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