Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 13

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry) 🌤️ ...


	Newry City		Newington

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.40	2.45
	2.42	3.5	2.45
	2.16	3.38	2.83
	2.4	3.62	2.54	Watch
	2.13	3.3	2.8
	2.41	3.77	2.57
	2.44	3.6	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.47)	3.51 ↓ (3.87)	2.59 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
38.9%

Draw
25.9%

Newington
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

23.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

23.1%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Newry City - Newington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newry City won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Newry City has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:9 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Newry City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Newington	13	8	2	3	29:22	7	26
7	Newry City	13	5	4	4	20:22	-2	19

Last Results with these Odds

Newry City - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Newington - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.88%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish League Cup
20.10.26	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
17.10.26	Queens University Belfast - Newry City	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Newry City - Dundela	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Loughgall - Newry City	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Newry City - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWLW
- Newington FC
Northern Irish League Cup
20.10.26	Newington - Ballymena United	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
16.10.26	Moyola Park - Newington	2:3 ✺
09.10.26	Newington - Ards	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Institute FC - Newington	7:0 ✺
26.09.26	Newington - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
19.04.25	Newington - Newry City	3:2
07.02.25	Newry City - Newington	0:1
19.10.24	Newry City - Newington	3:1
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Newry City - Newington	1:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Newry City - Newington	1:0
23.07.22	Newry City - Newington	0:1
13.07.18	Newry City - Newington	0:1

Newry City - Newington