Match Info

Cymru North - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Bangor 1876		Caersws

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.65	2.95
	2.11	3.84	3.03
	2.15	3.78	2.94
	2.05	3.65	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.75)	3.73 ↓ (4.01)	2.97 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangor 1876
44.2%

Draw
24.7%

Caersws
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

22.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

22.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor 1876 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangor 1876's form might have worsened.

Caersws has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caersws's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor 1876 than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangor 1876, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caersws, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bangor 1876 - Caersws Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangor 1876 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Hesden R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Ellison J. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).

Bangor 1876 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caersws is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bangor 1876 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bangor 1876 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Caersws to win the game is with odds 3.14.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bangor 1876 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Bangor 1876 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor 1876
Welsh Cymru North
29.03.25	Mold Alexandra - Bangor 1876	6:1 ✺
22.03.25	Denbigh Town - Bangor 1876	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Bangor 1876 - Buckley Town	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Bangor 1876 - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
26.02.25	Flint Mountain - Bangor 1876	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
29.03.25	Gresford Athletic - Caersws	3:1 ✺
25.03.25	Buckley Town - Caersws	2:4 ✺
22.03.25	Caersws - Llay Welfare	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Caersws - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Colwyn Bay - Caersws	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Caersws - Bangor 1876	2:1
Welsh Cymru North
26.10.24	Caersws - Bangor 1876	0:0
10.02.24	Bangor 1876 - Caersws	2:0

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