Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Caersws		Llay Welfare

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.2	6.4
	1.37	5.61	6.48
	1.29	5.35	7.34
	1.33	5.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)	5.34 ↑ (4.64)	6.66 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caersws
69%

Draw
17.2%

Llay Welfare
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

19.8%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

18.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caersws has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caersws's performance.

Llay Welfare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llay Welfare than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Caersws - Llay Welfare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Collo J. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Harries A. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Lima R. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Mclaughlin M. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, Mclaughlin M. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Llay Welfare is Relegated to

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Llay Welfare could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Caersws is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caersws won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
15.03.25	Caersws - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Colwyn Bay - Caersws	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Caersws - Penrhyncoch	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Caersws - Llandudno	1:5 ✺
18.02.25	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- Llay Welfare
Welsh Cymru North
18.03.25	Llay Welfare - Airbus UK Broughton	0:5 ✺
11.03.25	Penrhyncoch - Llay Welfare	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ruthin Town - Llay Welfare	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Llay Welfare - Flint Mountain	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Llay Welfare - Gresford Athletic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
14.09.24	Llay Welfare - Caersws	1:0

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