Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Denbigh Town		Bangor 1876

	1	X	2
	1.97	4.2	2.85
	2.02	4.49	2.88	Watch
	2.01	3.92	2.89
	1.97	4.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.27)	4.2 ↓ (4.24)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
46.1%

Draw
21.9%

Bangor 1876
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

21.6%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

20.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denbigh Town's performance.

Bangor 1876 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bangor 1876 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor 1876 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Denbigh Town - Bangor 1876 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 1 - 0, Vaughan A. ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, Davies O. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, McGonigle C. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).

Recent matches Denbigh Town is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bangor 1876 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Denbigh Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Denbigh Town won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:5 (average 3:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Denbigh Town won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
15.03.25	Caersws - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Denbigh Town - Prestatyn Town	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Buckley Town - Denbigh Town	0:5 ✺
22.02.25	Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
18.02.25	Denbigh Town - Flint Mountain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWTL
- Bangor 1876
Welsh Cymru North
07.03.25	Bangor 1876 - Buckley Town	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Bangor 1876 - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
26.02.25	Flint Mountain - Bangor 1876	4:0 ✺
21.02.25	Gresford Athletic - Bangor 1876	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Bangor 1876 - Prestatyn Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
11.10.24	Bangor 1876 - Denbigh Town	3:4
23.04.24	Denbigh Town - Bangor 1876	2:2

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