Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Bangor City		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.75	2.15
	3.45	3.8	1.73
	3.89	3.79	1.56
	3.48	3.62	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (1.74)	3.74 ↓ (4.12)	1.84 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangor City
26.8%

Draw
24.1%

Colwyn Bay
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

21.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

15.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangor City's form might have worsened.

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colwyn Bay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor City than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangor City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6).

Bangor City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Colwyn Bay is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bangor City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bangor City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor City
Welsh Cymru North
06.11.21	Llanidloes Town - Bangor City	5:2 ✺
22.10.21	Conwy Borough - Bangor City	4:2 ✺
02.10.21	Bangor City - Ruthin Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
25.09.21	Swansea University - Bangor City	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
21.09.21	Bangor City - Bala Town	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru North
06.11.21	Llanrhaeadr - Colwyn Bay	2:5 ✺
30.10.21	Colwyn Bay - Holyhead Hotspur	4:3 ✺
23.10.21	Guilsfield - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.10.21	Colwyn Bay - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
02.10.21	Colwyn Bay - Llandudno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
29.11.19	Colwyn Bay - Bangor City	1:1
29.10.19	Bangor City - Colwyn Bay	2:3
Club Friendly
19.07.16	Colwyn Bay - Bangor City	2:2

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