Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 13

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Llanelian Road (Old Colwyn)

Referee: Wright R. (Wal)


	Colwyn Bay		Cardiff Metropolitan

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.45	3.7
	1.91	3.53	3.95
	1.95	3.54	3.45	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.72
	1.9	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	3.64 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colwyn Bay
48.2%

Draw
26.5%

Cardiff Metropolitan
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Colwyn Bay - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Colwyn Bay will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cardiff Metropolitan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colwyn Bay: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colwyn Bay will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Brown A. (G) 7. Cumming J. 9. Davies J. 23. Edwards A. 6. Forde S. 24. Hughes G. 22. Kargbo I. 4. Peate N. 11. Roberts E. 10. Robles L. 5. Sirrell L.	13. Seager S. (G) 2. Chubb M. 16. Craven C. 7. Evans E. 10. Jones S. 8. Kabongo D. 14. Morris J. 19. Mwandwe L. 6. Reynolds R. 5. Richards S. 11. Roscrow A.
Substitutes
26. Davies O. 25. Kargbo U. 27. McGoona M. 41. Murphy L. (G) 8. Owen J. 14. Williams A. 20. Williams A.	1. Absalom K. (G) 20. John H. 12. Lonergan R. 15. Morgan G. 17. Payne J. 9. Rees L.
Coaches
Wilde M.	Jenkins R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Jones S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Cumming J. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
70', Roscrow A. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
84', Kargbo I. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
89', Robles L. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
89', Edwards A. ↓, Kargbo U. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Colwyn Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.10.25	Flint Town United - Colwyn Bay	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Colwyn Bay - Bala Town	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Llanelli - Colwyn Bay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLT
- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.10.25	Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:3 ✺
23.09.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont	0:4 ✺
19.09.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
06.09.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Colwyn Bay	1:4
Welsh FA Cup
17.02.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Colwyn Bay	3:2
Welsh Cymru Premier
30.09.23	Colwyn Bay - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:2
26.08.23	Cardiff Metropolitan - Colwyn Bay	1:0
Welsh FA Cup
16.10.21	Colwyn Bay - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0

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