Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Bangu		Audax Rio

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.62	2.87	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.65	2.6	2.85
	2.86	2.75	3.03
	2.73	2.89	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.42)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	2.86 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
33.8%

Draw
33.9%

Audax Rio
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

33%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

22.4%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Audax Rio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bangu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audax Rio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bangu - Audax Rio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Bangu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Audax Rio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bangu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bangu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Bangu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
20.02.22	Nova Iguaçu - Bangu	1:0 ✺
17.02.22	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Bangu - Resende	0:0 ✺
09.02.22	Bangu - Madureira	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Portuguesa RJ - Bangu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTL
- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
20.02.22	Audax Rio - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
16.02.22	Volta Redonda - Audax Rio	4:0 ✺
13.02.22	Audax Rio - Boavista	2:0 ✺
10.02.22	Audax Rio - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
07.02.22	Resende - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.01.14	Bangu - Audax Rio	0:0

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