Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca 2 - Round 10

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday


	Resende		Audax Rio

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2.02	2.94	4
	2	3	3.94
	1.96	3.08	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.62)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	3.82 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
45.7%

Draw
30.4%

Audax Rio
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

29.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Resende's performance.

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Audax Rio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Resende that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audax Rio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Resende - Audax Rio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, ⚽,
58', 1 - 3, ⚽,
65', 2 - 3, ⚽,
87', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resende FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.07.24	Maricá - Resende	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Duque de Caxias - Resende	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Resende - America RJ	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Araruama - Resende	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Resende - Serrano FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTTT
- Audax Rio
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.24	Audax Rio - Serra	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
17.07.24	Audax Rio - America RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Democrata SL - Audax Rio	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
10.07.24	Araruama - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Audax Rio - Itabuna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.23	Resende - Audax Rio	0:2
07.02.22	Resende - Audax Rio	0:1
22.01.14	Audax Rio - Resende	0:0
13.04.13	Resende - Audax Rio	2:1

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