Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 2

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Vasco da Gama		Bangu

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.9	5
	1.68	3.6	5	Watch
	1.64	3.73	4.8	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.8
	1.66	4.17	5.13	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.54)	3.75 ↓ (3.8)	4.96 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
56.3%

Draw
24.9%

Bangu
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Vasco da Gama - Bangu Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daniel Fuzato (G) 2. Paulinho Babilonia 3. Souza 4. Luiz Gustavo 6. Victor Luis 8. De Lucca 5. Ze Gabriel 10. JP 11. Serginho 7. Bruno Lopes 9. GB	31. Victor Brasil (G) 4. Hygor 2. Kevem 5. Yuri Garcia 3. Vitinho 6. Andre Castro 19. Raphael Augusto 8. Alex Moretti 10. Lucas Nathan 33. Macario 9. Rafael Carioca
Substitutes
16. Alison 12. Allan Vitor (G) 19. Andrey 22. Dominguez M. 21. Gabriel Soares 17. Jair 23. Jean David 13. Leo Jardim (G) 15. Lucas Eduardo 18. Paulinho Paula 20. Riquelme 14. Walace Fernandes	13. Admilton 17. Fabinho 11. Fabricio Fortunato 15. Franklin 12. Gabriel Barboza (G) 14. Italo 16. Joao Felipe 20. Joao Veras 18. Juninho 21. Leo Guerra 1. Matheus Brandt (G) 23. Ruan Carlos
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Martins V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Alex Moretti 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ze Gabriel ↓, Jair ↑,
46', De Lucca ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
46', JP ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
55', Serginho 🟨,
59', Alex Moretti ↓, Joao Felipe ↑,
59', Macario ↓, Fabinho ↑,
66', Bruno Lopes ↓, Jean David ↑,
69', Kevem ↓, Admilton ↑,
69', Lucas Nathan ↓, Ruan Carlos ↑,
80', Raphael Augusto ↓, Leo Guerra ↑,
87', Joao Felipe 🟨,
88', Serginho ↓, Andrey ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 3.

Recent matches Vasco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vasco is certain favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Vasco won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:10 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
11.01.25	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Cuiabá - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
04.12.24	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Goianiense	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWTL
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
11.01.25	Bangu - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
28.08.24	Bangu - Zinza	0:2 penalties ✺
21.08.24	Zinza - Bangu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
03.03.24	Boavista - Bangu	5:3 ✺
25.02.24	Bangu - Madureira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
28.01.24	Bangu - Vasco da Gama	2:2
09.03.23	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	2:0
17.02.22	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	2:0
03.04.21	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	4:2
19.01.20	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	0:0
07.04.19	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	2:1
28.03.19	Bangu - Vasco da Gama	0:1

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