Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 5

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Janio Moraes (Rio de Janeiro)


	Nova Iguaçu		Bangu

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	1.78	3.15	4.95
	1.87	3	4.9
	1.97	2.91	4.56	Watch
	1.8	2.9	4.5
	1.8	3.2	4.99
	1.75	3.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.2)	3.07 ↑ (2.99)	4.71 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Iguaçu
49.7%

Draw
30.5%

Bangu
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Iguaçu's performance.

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bangu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Nova Iguaçu - Bangu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nova Iguaçu will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bangu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nova Iguaçu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Nova Iguaçu (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nova Iguaçu (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Mota (G) 2. Davi Soares 3. Wender 4. Yan Silva 6. Sidney Pages (C) 5. Jorge Pedra 8. Leo Rafael 7. Xandinho 10. Rickelme Lopes 11. Lucas Cruz 9. Vini Charopem	31. Bruno (G) 2. Dudu 3. Gilberto 4. Patrick 6. Bruno Boca 5. Dioguinho 8. Mauro (C) 11. Lucas Sibito 10. Walber 7. Garrinsha 17. Luizinho
Substitutes
20. Alexandre Balbino 13. Arthur Neves 14. Augusto 24. Guilherme Kayron 21. Iago Lacerda 17. Leo David 19. Luan Capanni 1. Matheus Miranda (G) 22. Pedro Silva 15. Pedro Thomaz 18. Thomasel 16. Ze Gabriel	1. Diego (G) 21. Elenilson 13. Gabriel Barboza (G) 14. Kadu 22. Kauan Guilherme 20. Marcelinho 9. Patryck 23. Paulo Vitor 15. Pedro China 19. Rafael Maia 16. Ricardo Sena 18. Welington Zaru
Coaches
Carlos Vitor	Tinoco

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Vini Charopem ⚽, Xandinho (A),
18', Gilberto 🟨,
30', Garrinsha 🟨,
34', Yan Silva ↓, Augusto ↑,
45+1', Wender 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rickelme Lopes ↓, Leo David ↑,
46', Garrinsha ↓, Patryck ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Patryck ⚽, Luizinho (A),
60', 1 - 2, Patryck ⚽, Lucas Sibito (A),
65', Lucas Sibito ↓, Ricardo Sena ↑,
67', Leo Rafael ↓, Thomasel ↑,
68', Vini Charopem ↓, Luan Capanni ↑,
70', Dioguinho 🟨,
72', Dioguinho ↓, Kauan Guilherme ↑,
82', Dudu ↓, Caio Felipe ↑,
82', Luizinho ↓, Pedro China ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 4.

In this match, Nova Iguaçu is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
26.01.26	Nova Iguaçu - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
22.01.26	Nova Iguaçu - Fluminense	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
15.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
27.08.25	Nova Iguaçu - Araruama	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTWL
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
24.01.26	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Maricá - Bangu	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Bangu - Madureira	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Bangu - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
30.08.25	Portuguesa RJ - Bangu	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.25	Nova Iguaçu - Bangu	1:1
24.01.24	Bangu - Nova Iguaçu	2:3
29.01.23	Nova Iguaçu - Bangu	1:0
20.02.22	Nova Iguaçu - Bangu	1:0
25.04.21	Bangu - Nova Iguaçu	0:1
28.01.18	Bangu - Nova Iguaçu	0:0
11.03.17	Nova Iguaçu - Bangu	2:1

Nova Iguaçu - Bangu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide