Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CARIOCA - TACA GUANABARA - ROUND 10

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha (Brasília)


	Bangu		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.33	1.3
	10	5	1.31
	10	4.75	1.25
	11.64	4.75	1.32
	10.5	4.9	1.29
	9.2	4.5	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.14 ↑ (5.5)	4.71 ↑ (3.4)	1.29 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
9.1%

Draw
19.6%

Fluminense
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

26.4%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

26%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangu's form might have worsened.

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fluminense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fluminense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Bangu - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bangu will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fluminense will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bangu won 1.

Bangu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fluminense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Fluminense have a series of home games.

In this match Fluminense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bangu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 3-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Bangu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
26.02.23	Bangu - Volta Redonda	0:4 ✺
11.02.23	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Bangu - Madureira	1:0 ✺
01.02.23	Audax Rio - Bangu	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Nova Iguaçu - Bangu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTL
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.02.23	Fluminense - Portuguesa RJ	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Fluminense - Audax Rio	3:0 ✺
02.02.23	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Fluminense - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
27.01.22	Fluminense - Bangu	0:1
20.03.21	Bangu - Fluminense	0:1
26.01.20	Bangu - Fluminense	1:5
22.02.19	Bangu - Fluminense	0:2
21.02.18	Bangu - Fluminense	0:4
12.02.17	Fluminense - Bangu	4:0
30.03.16	Bangu - Fluminense	0:1

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