Match Info

Carioca - Taca Rio - Semi-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Bangu		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2
	4.09	3.06	1.96
	4.14	3.23	1.93	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2
	4.19	3.05	1.88
	5.33	3.4	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.4)	3.12 ↑ (3.09)	1.91 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
22.1%

Draw
29.6%

Volta Redonda
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

30.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29.5%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangu's form might have worsened.

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volta Redonda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volta Redonda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bangu - Volta Redonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bruno (G) 2. Dudu 3. Gilberto 4. Kadu 16. Ricardo Sena 5. Dioguinho 15. Pedro China 11. Lucas Sibito 10. Walber (C) 17. Luizinho 9. Patryck	1. Avelino (G) 2. Wellington Silva 14. Rafael Castro 3. Lucas Adell 6. Jean Victor 5. Bruno Barra (C) 8. Dener 17. Wagninho 18. Luciano Naninho 11. MV 9. Ygor Catatau
Substitutes
6. Bruno Boca 14. Caio Felipe 1. Diego (G) 21. Douglas Lima 7. Garrinsha 19. Italo 25. Kauan Guilherme 20. Marcelinho 8. Mauro 23. Paulo Vitor 13. Silva H. 18. Welington Zaru	13. Alan 19. Blanco O. 29. Caetano 26. Caio Silva 45. Deivity (G) 21. Henrique Silva 28. Joao Valenca 25. Juninho Monteiro 30. Juninho Ramos 7. Marquinhos 27. Mizael Monteiro 23. Pinto L.
Coaches
Tinoco	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Ricardo Sena 🟨,
8', Gilberto 🟨,
18', Wellington Silva 🟨,
21', Gilberto ↓, Kauan Guilherme ↑,
24', Kauan Guilherme 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Patryck ⚽, Kauan Guilherme (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dudu ↓, Caio Felipe ↑,
57', Wagninho ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
63', Pedro China ↓, Mauro ↑,
63', Lucas Sibito ↓, Douglas Lima ↑,
78', Patryck ↓, Garrinsha ↑,
81', Dener ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
81', Wellington Silva ↓, Juninho Ramos ↑,
86', Ygor Catatau 🟨,
86', Kadu 🟨,
90+4', Luciano Naninho ↓, Pinto L. ↑,
90+4', Rafael Castro ↓, Caio Silva ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Volta Redonda is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bangu won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.02.26	Fluminense - Bangu	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bangu - Boavista	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Nova Iguaçu - Bangu	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Maricá - Bangu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWLW
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
14.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Volta Redonda	2:1 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Volta Redonda - Madureira	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Maricá - Volta Redonda	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Nova Iguaçu - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
19.01.25	Bangu - Volta Redonda	0:1
07.02.24	Bangu - Volta Redonda	1:1
26.02.23	Bangu - Volta Redonda	0:4
02.02.22	Bangu - Volta Redonda	1:1
18.04.21	Bangu - Volta Redonda	1:1
29.01.20	Bangu - Volta Redonda	0:1
08.03.19	Volta Redonda - Bangu	0:1

Bangu - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide