Match Info

Date: 10 July 2021, Saturday


	Bangu		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	3.2	1.6
	6	3.5	1.52
	5	3.5	1.59
	5.93	3.46	1.64
	6.5	3.2	1.55
	5.9	3.28	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (5.67)	3.36 ↑ (2.8)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
15.6%

Draw
27.1%

Portuguesa
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

33.2%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

26.1%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Bangu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portuguesa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Portuguesa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bangu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bangu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Serie D
04.07.21	Madureira - Bangu	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Bangu - Boavista	0:2 ✺
20.06.21	Bangu - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
12.06.21	São Bento - Bangu	1:1 ✺
05.06.21	Bangu - Santo André	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
04.07.21	Portuguesa - São Bento	2:0 ✺
26.06.21	Internacional de Limeira - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
19.06.21	Portuguesa - Santo André	1:0 ✺
13.06.21	Madureira - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
05.06.21	Portuguesa - Cianorte	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.06.17	Portuguesa - Bangu	3:0
27.05.17	Bangu - Portuguesa	1:0

Bangu - Portuguesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide