Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 6

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Proletario Guilherme da Silveira Filho (Moca Bonita) (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Nascimento J. (Bra)


	Bangu		Boavista

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.65
	3	2.98	2.42
	3.27	2.9	2.38
	3.1	2.87	2.51	Watch
	3	2.63	2.38
	2.92	3.23	2.4
	3.14	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.59)	2.97 ↓ (3.19)	2.44 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
30.8%

Draw
31.2%

Boavista
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangu's form might have worsened.

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Bangu - Boavista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bruno (G) 2. Dudu 3. Gilberto 4. Patrick 6. Bruno Boca 5. Dioguinho 8. Mauro (C) 11. Lucas Sibito 10. Walber 17. Luizinho 9. Patryck	1. Lucas Maticoli (G) 2. Cesinha 3. Gabriel Caran 4. Bruno Jesus 6. Titto 5. Ryan Couto 8. Kadu 11. Fellipinho 10. Isael (C) 7. Bere 9. Brunao
Substitutes
14. Caio Felipe 1. Diego (G) 21. Douglas Lima 7. Garrinsha 13. Kadu 22. Kauan Guilherme 20. Marcelinho 23. Paulo Vitor 15. Pedro China 19. Rafael Maia 16. Ricardo Sena 18. Welington Zaru	13. Andre Fausto 15. Fernando 20. Gabriel Richvicki 14. Guilherme Lacerda 19. Gui Sales 21. Igor Franca 23. Leandrinho 17. Lucas Silva 18. Luis Henrique 22. Marcus Vinicius 12. Matheus (G) 16. Misael Xavier
Coaches
Tinoco	Gilson Kleina

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Bruno Jesus ⚽, Isael (A),
67', Bere ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
67', Kadu ↓, Fernando ↑,
70', Mauro 🟨,
71', Luizinho ↓, Garrinsha ↑,
71', Mauro ↓, Pedro China ↑,
74', Fernando ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
78', Titto 🟨,
79', Dioguinho ↓, Welington Zaru ↑,
82', Titto ↓, Gabriel Richvicki ↑,
82', Isael ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Walber (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Gilberto ↓, Kauan Guilherme ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bangu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.26	Nova Iguaçu - Bangu	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Maricá - Bangu	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Bangu - Madureira	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Bangu - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.7 WLWLW
- Boavista SC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Boavista	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Boavista - Vasco da Gama	0:3 ✺
22.01.26	Boavista - Portuguesa RJ	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Boavista - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Volta Redonda - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
05.02.25	Bangu - Boavista	0:0
03.03.24	Boavista - Bangu	5:3
15.01.23	Boavista - Bangu	2:2
06.03.22	Boavista - Bangu	4:1
Brazilian Serie D
14.08.21	Boavista - Bangu	2:0
27.06.21	Bangu - Boavista	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
07.03.21	Boavista - Bangu	2:0

Bangu - Boavista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide