Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Conselheiro Galvao (Rio de Janeiro)


	Madureira		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	4.32	3.09	1.8
	4.55	3.05	1.86	Watch
	4.2	3	1.8
	4.81	3.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.76)	3.06 ↑ (3)	1.8 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madureira
20.2%

Draw
29.6%

Portuguesa
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

30.6%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

29.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Madureira - Portuguesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Caua Coutinho ⚽,

Preview

Madureira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Portuguesa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Portuguesa is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Madureira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madureira EC
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Portuguesa - Madureira	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Madureira - America RJ	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Madureira	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Madureira - Água Santa	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Pouso Alegre - Madureira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTWL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Portuguesa - Madureira	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Água Santa - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	America RJ - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Portuguesa - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Portuguesa - Madureira	2:1
28.08.21	Portuguesa - Madureira	2:0
13.06.21	Madureira - Portuguesa	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.15	Portuguesa - Madureira	4:2
30.05.15	Madureira - Portuguesa	1:2

Madureira - Portuguesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide