Match Info

Carioca 2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Bangu		São Gonçalo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.65	3.5
	2.12	2.88	3.75
	2.1	2.85	3.67
	2.25	2.63	3.81	Watch
	2.22	2.68	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)	2.74 ↓ (2.93)	3.67 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
42%

Draw
33.2%

São Gonçalo
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Bangu - São Gonçalo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Andre Castro ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Bangu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Gonçalo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bangu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bangu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bangu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Bangu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
09.08.25	Bangu - Araruama	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Bangu - Americano Rio de Janeiro	N/A ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
30.07.25	Campo Grande - Bangu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
12.07.25	Bangu - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WT?WT
- São Gonçalo EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
09.08.25	São Gonçalo - Olaria	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Olaria - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Araruama - São Gonçalo	N/A ✺
05.07.25	São Gonçalo - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	America RJ - São Gonçalo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WT?TT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
21.05.25	Bangu - São Gonçalo	0:2

Bangu - São Gonçalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide