Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 30

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Barakaldo		Deusto

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.7	6.7
	1.42	3.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.32)	3.8 ↓ (4.23)	7.25 ↑ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
63.4%

Draw
24%

Deusto
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.7%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

19.6%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Barakaldo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Deusto is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Barakaldo is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barakaldo to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Barakaldo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.04.23	Touring KE - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
05.04.23	Barakaldo - Aurrerá de Vitoria	8:1 ✺
01.04.23	Durango - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Barakaldo - Padura	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Anaitasuna - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW
- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.04.23	Deusto - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:0 ✺
06.04.23	Deusto - Touring KE	4:0 ✺
01.04.23	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Deusto	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Deusto - Durango	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Padura - Deusto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.01.23	Deusto - Barakaldo	1:1
02.03.22	Barakaldo - Deusto	1:0
03.10.21	Deusto - Barakaldo	1:1

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