Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 27

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Durango		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	4.92	3.39	1.63
	4.7	3.32	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.26)	3.36 ↑ (3.24)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durango
18.9%

Draw
27.2%

Barakaldo
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

26.1%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Durango - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Durango is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barakaldo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Durango won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Durango won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
25.03.23	Deusto - Durango	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Durango - Touring KE	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Durango	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Durango - Padura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTWW
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
25.03.23	Barakaldo - Padura	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Anaitasuna - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Barakaldo - Leioa	3:1 ✺
05.03.23	Portugalete - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Barakaldo - Pasaia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
04.12.22	Barakaldo - Durango	1:1
19.01.22	Durango - Barakaldo	1:2
15.09.21	Barakaldo - Durango	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.03.19	Barakaldo - Durango	1:0
12.10.18	Durango - Barakaldo	0:1

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