Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Anoeta (San Sebastian)

Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Real Sociedad B		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.87
	2.32	3.2	2.98	Watch
	2.37	3.2	3.2
	2.39	3.02	3.24	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.88
	2.34	3.35	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.15)	3.22 ↓ (3.48)	3.06 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
40.3%

Draw
29.1%

Leonesa
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Real Sociedad B - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad B: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arana E. (C) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 4. Beitia L. 37. Calderon I. 23. Agote U. 7. Diaz D. 34. Oleaga J. 31. Aguirre I. 19. Marchal A. 16. Gorosabel G. 10. Mariezkurrena A.	1. Banuz M. (C) 24. Garcia V. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 21. Hinojo R. 15. Ribeiro L. 14. Bicho 6. Maestre S. 11. Moreno V. 10. Chacon L. 23. Diallo Selu M.
Substitutes
42. Arana P. 17. Astiazaran L. 14. Carbonell T. 18. Carrera G. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 1. Fraga A. (G) 29. Garro J. 33. Gorosabel J. 6. Lebarbier A. 26. Ramirez D. 8. Rodriguez M. 39. Unax A.	17. Calero I. 7. Collado D. 8. Gonzalez Y. 39. Morante A. 28. Ojeda T. 22. Radoja N. 26. Rafus A. (G) 16. Ribeiro T. 2. Rodriguez P. 19. Sobrino R.
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	de la Barrera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Ribeiro L. ⚽, Bicho (A),
60', Gorosabel G. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
60', Aguirre I. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
60', Garcia V. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Mariezkurrena A. ⚽, Oleaga J. (A),
68', Maestre S. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
68', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
68', Satrustegui E. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
73', Diaz D. ↓, Astiazaran L. ↑,
82', Dadie Izagirre A. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
82', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Gorosabel J. ↑,
87', Moreno V. ↓, Morante A. ↑,

Preview

Leonesa is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Balda J. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leonesa: Al Amin H. (International duty) Badia E. (Yellow Cards) Barzic M. (International duty) Justo M. (Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Rodri Suarez (Foot Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.95%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Albacete Balompié - Real Sociedad B	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Huesca - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
29.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWTL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Leonesa - Burgos	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Leonesa - Eibar	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Albacete Balompié - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Leonesa - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Mirandés - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.26	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	2:2
06.09.24	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1
13.04.24	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	3:1
15.10.23	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.11.19	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	3:0

Upcoming Matches