Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 38

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Barakaldo		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.25
	2.1	3.15	3.35
	2.12	3	4.16
	1.93	3.09	4.26	Watch
	1.95	3	3.4
	1.97	3.3	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.09)	3.12 ↓ (3.41)	3.65 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
45.4%

Draw
29.4%

Celta de Vigo B
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Barakaldo - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barakaldo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 18. Arana M. 4. Dufur U. 16. Lopez O. 21. Pena A. 5. Molina E. 8. Huidobro J. 14. Munoz I. 19. Galarza A. 17. de Leon J.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 23. Miller G. 26. Rodriguez A. 6. Meixus P. (C) 3. Ribes K. 10. de la Iglesia D. 8. Antanon A. 16. Capdevila A. 18. Lopez J. 9. Marin A. 17. Somuah B.
Substitutes
23. Albizua U. 12. Cabo J. 2. de Jesus B. 3. Garcia B. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 20. Mandiang S. 6. Naveira U. 24. Ropero I. 10. Sabin 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.	11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 37. Kibet A. 19. Marcos O. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 14. Oliveras J. 35. Perez-Lafuente J. 29. Sobral M. 4. Vazquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Galarza A. 🟨,
45+3', Capdevila A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Somuah B. ⚽,
63', Molina E. ↓, Sabin ↑,
63', Pena A. ↓, Mandiang S. ↑,
63', de Leon J. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Mandiang S. ⚽,
78', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
80', Capdevila A. ↓, Sobral M. ↑,
86', Somuah B. ↓, Perez-Lafuente J. ↑,
86', Antanon A. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
89', Valino A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Celta de Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Barakaldo is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Barakaldo - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.05.26	Real Avilés - Barakaldo	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Barakaldo - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Tenerife - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Barakaldo - Lugo	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ponferradina - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.05.26	Celta de Vigo B - Lugo	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	2:4 ✺
01.05.26	Celta de Vigo B - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pontevedra - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Celta de Vigo B - Cacereño	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Barakaldo	1:2
23.03.25	Barakaldo - Celta de Vigo B	0:1
25.08.24	Celta de Vigo B - Barakaldo	2:2

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