Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Barakaldo		Málaga

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.4
	2.95	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.99	3.13	2.39
	3.1	3.2	2.38	Watch
	3.06	3.14	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.23)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	2.38 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
31.4%

Draw
29.2%

Málaga
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

30.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

30.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Barakaldo - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barakaldo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tena J. (G) 21. Aimar 11. Bujan E. 3. Garcia B. 8. Huidobro J. 19. Isuskiza V. 16. Lopez O. 5. Molina E. 20. Orozco I. 7. Pedernales I. 14. Txoperena U.	13. Lopez C. (G) 7. Abaida H. 26. Cordero A. 4. Galilea E. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 22. Lorenzo D. 20. Monte N. 25. Murillo D. 3. Ouacharaf B. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 9. Zuniga L.
Substitutes
12. Artetxe M. 2. de Jesus B. 17. Fernandez Pacheco A. 4. Gaztanaga J. 23. Gromaz J. 22. Laka A. B. 13. Perez U. (G) 15. Salado A. 10. Torre I. 6. Velez U. 9. Xabi Cortezon	. Dioni . Fernandez Jaen R. . Gabilondo J. . Herrero A. (G) . Jesus . Juanpe . Larrubia D. . Medina K. . Rafita . Sanchez D. . Santaella J. (G)

Preview

Barakaldo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barakaldo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Málaga will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.10.23	Brea - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Barakaldo - Gernika	3:3 ✺
14.10.23	Real Sociedad C - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Barakaldo - Náxara	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Tudelano - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Antequera - Málaga	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Málaga - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
12.10.23	Málaga - Melilla	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Recreativo Huelva - Málaga	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWTW

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