Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 3

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Utebo		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.58	3.06	2.71
	2.55	3.08	2.71
	2.65	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.14)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.63 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
35.1%

Draw
29.8%

Barakaldo
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utebo's form might have worsened.

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barakaldo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utebo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barakaldo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Utebo - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Utebo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barakaldo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Utebo have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.09.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Utebo	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Utebo - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.23	Almudévar - Utebo	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Teruel - Utebo	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Lleida - Utebo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTLL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.09.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Barakaldo - San Juan	6:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.23	Vitoria - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Barakaldo - Osasuna B	3:1 ✺
14.08.23	Portugalete - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWTWW

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