The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baranovichi 35.2%
Draw 29.3%
Dnyapro Mogilev 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
33.1%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
33%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baranovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Dnyapro Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dnyapro Mogilev's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dnyapro Mogilev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Baranovichi - Dnyapro Mogilev Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Shapko D. (G) 11. Ryabykh N. 19. Bruy A. 5. Fedotov V. 97. Tkachev T. 77. Artyukh M. 9. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 6. Tuzakbaev A. 22. Bondarenko M. 45. Torekul E.
33. Sinenko A. (G) 5. Varganov A. 8. Rusak S. (C) 15. Kasarab M. 89. Harutyunyan V. 17. Potapenko A. 66. Tereshchuk N. 11. Lisakovich D. 37. Tsepenkov K. 3. Perovic N. 88. Kirilenko K.
Substitutes
8. Balbukh V. 2. Kendysh S. 33. Muzychenko K. 29. Penchuk S. 34. Petrenko A. 96. Potorocha V. 7. Pukhov T. 17. Shevchenko M. 26. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 23. Vasilenko V.
74. Cherkasov D. 29. Denisyuk A. 23. Dunaev A. 77. Gushchenko D. (G) 21. Karpitskiy E. 55. Krasnov N. 18. Mikhalenko A. 99. Stepanenko V. 10. Zabelin K.
Coaches
Kirenkin R.
Kriushenko I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Bondarenko M. ⚽, Artyukh M. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Lebedev F. ⚽, Artyukh M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Tuzakbaev A. ↓, Balbukh V. ↑,
65', Artyukh M. ↓, Pukhov T. ↑,
68', Tereshchuk N. 🟨,
72', Shapko D. 🟥,
73', Kirilenko K. ↓, Denisyuk A. ↑,
73', Tereshchuk N. ↓, Zabelin K. ↑,
74', Bondarenko M. ↓, Shpakovskiy D. ↑,
75', Lapun E. ↓, Kendysh S. ↑,
75', Torekul E. ↓, Shevchenko M. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Zabelin K. ⚽, Lisakovich D. (A),
77', Kasarab M. 🟨,
79', Varganov A. 🟨,
80', Tsepenkov K. ↓, Karpitskiy E. ↑,
85', Perovic N. ↓, Mikhalenko A. ↑,
85', Harutyunyan V. ↓, Krasnov N. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baranovichi won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Dnyapro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Baranovichi won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Baranovichi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
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Shapko D. (G) 
Fedotov V. 
Tuzakbaev A. 
Harutyunyan V. 
Perovic N. 
Shevchenko M. 
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