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Current Win Probability
Dnyapro Mogilev 60.2%
Draw 23.7%
Naftan 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
28.5%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
27.1%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dnyapro Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dnyapro Mogilev's performance.
Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naftan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (-22%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dnyapro Mogilev that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naftan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Dnyapro Mogilev - Naftan Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dnyapro will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Gushchenko D. (G) 15. Kasarab M. 8. Rusak S. (C) 23. Dunaev A. 32. Mikhalenko A. 55. Krasnov N. 89. Harutyunyan V. 37. Tsepenkov K. 21. Karpitskiy E. 66. Tereshchuk N. 88. Kirilenko K.
13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 24. Seleznev I. 42. Jonathan J. 5. Lebedev A. (C) 88. Drabatovich A. 9. Yakovlev V. 6. Adamovich K. 11. Pranovich I. 10. Savitskiy A. 50. Mafwenta G. 94. Voskoboynikov A.
Substitutes
29. Denisyuk A. 7. Gurbanov M. 27. Piletskiy R. 17. Potapenko A. 22. Sednev N. (G) 99. Stepanenko V. 5. Varganov A. 26. Yurkevich F. 10. Zabelin K.
4. Abrorov S. 30. Aymanov M. 14. Chmut I. 22. Fezhenko V. 21. Kirkitski K. 25. Matvey S. 71. Naumovich A. (G)
Coaches
Suvorov S.
Khrapkovski A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Jonathan J. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Rusak S. ⚽, Tsepenkov K. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Yakovlev V. ⚽, Mafwenta G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Voskoboynikov A. ↓, Aymanov M. ↑,
50', Jonathan J. ↓, Abrorov S. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Kirilenko K. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Kirilenko K. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Aymanov M. ⚽, Mafwenta G. (A),
63', Tereshchuk N. ↓, Zabelin K. ↑,
66', Krasnov N. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
73', 3 - 2, Tsepenkov K. ⚽, Kirilenko K. (A),
76', Kirilenko K. ↓, Denisyuk A. ↑,
76', Rusak S. ↓, Varganov A. ↑,
78', Tsepenkov K. 🟨,
80', Adamovich K. ↓, Fezhenko V. ↑,
89', Karpitskiy E. ↓, Stepanenko V. ↑,
89', Harutyunyan V. ↓, Yurkevich F. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 3, Mafwenta G. ⚽, Pranovich I. (A),
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dnyapro won 0.
Recent performances by Dnyapro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Naftan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Dnyapro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Dnyapro is a strong favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dnyapro won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Dnyapro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
Belarus
Usa
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Gushchenko D. (G) 
Harutyunyan V. 
Tereshchuk N. 
Jonathan J. 
Yakovlev V. 
Mafwenta G. 
Abrorov S. 
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