Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Barbadás		Arosa

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.15	1.72
	4.67	3.39	1.73
	4.75	3.1	1.73
	4.9	3.3	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (4.69)	3.24 ↓ (3.42)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barbadás
19.1%

Draw
28%

Arosa
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

26.6%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

26.1%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbadás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Barbadás - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 1, ⚽,
80', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Barbadás is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arosa is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Arosa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barbadás won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barbadás won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.02.26	Atlético Arteixo - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Barbadás - Noia	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	RC Villalbes - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Barbadás - Viveiro	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Alondras - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.02.26	Arosa - Alondras	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lugo B - Arosa	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Arosa - Gran Peña	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Silva SD - Arosa	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Céltiga - Arosa	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Arosa - Barbadás	3:0
16.03.25	Arosa - Barbadás	1:2
03.11.24	Barbadás - Arosa	1:2
17.02.24	Barbadás - Arosa	0:2

Upcoming Matches