Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Lugo B		Compostela

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.05	1.92
	3.97	3.13	1.94
	1.17	5.29	25.00	Watch
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.84	3.32	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.05)	3.56 ↑ (3.2)	6.56 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lugo B
41.4%

Draw
38%

Compostela
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

28.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo B's performance.

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Compostela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Compostela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugo B - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Dean M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Lugo B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Compostela has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lugo B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Compostela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lugo B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.02.26	Lugo B - Somozas	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Montañeros - Lugo B	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lugo B - Arosa	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Arteixo - Lugo B	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Lugo B - Noia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLLT
- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.02.26	Juventud Cambados - Compostela	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Silva SD - Compostela	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Compostela - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Compostela - Boiro	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Barco - Compostela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Compostela - Lugo B	3:2

Upcoming Matches