Match Info

LaLiga - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Austria	Laola1
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport, ViX Premium
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga, Teledeporte
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Athletic Bilbao		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.60	4.80
	1.72	3.45	5.4	Watch
	1.74	3.7	5.5
	1.77	3.69	4.74	Watch
	1.72	3.65	5.3
	1.77	3.76	5.43	Watch
	1.74	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)	3.64 ↓ (3.66)	5.2 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
55.2%

Draw
26.4%

Sevilla
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Athletic (6.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletic Bilbao will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (G) 12. Areso J. 5. Alvarez Y. 4. Paredes A. 17. Berchiche Y. 24. Gerenabarrena B. 28. Canales P. 9. Williams I. (C) 8. Sancet O. 7. Berenguer A. 11. Guruzeta G.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Iglesias J. 12. Sangante A. 5. Castrin 17. Suazo G. (C) 6. Agoume L. 18. Guridi J. 30. Sierra M. 10. Peque 19. Oso 9. Ure R.
Substitutes
19. Boiro A. 25. Djalo A. 18. Jauregizar M. 14. Laporte A. 31. Louis-Jean J. 23. Navarro R. 13. Padilla A. (G) 20. Rego A. 15. Rincon H. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 21. Sannadi M. 10. Williams N.	28. Bueno M. 22. Carmona J. A. 3. Diaz J. 21. Ejuke C. 13. Fran (G) 27. Guilen N. 8. Kochorashvili G. 26. Manuel Angel 34. Munoz I. 16. Romero I. 33. Romero R. (G) 37. Sow I.
Coaches
Terzic E.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Berchiche Y. 🟥,
15', 0 - 1, Oso ⚽,
22', Peque 🟨,
25', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
25', Sierra M. 🟨,
39', Guridi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Peque ↓, Guilen N. ↑,
46', Sierra M. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
46', Guridi J. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Ejuke C. ⚽, Romero I. (A),
57', 0 - 3, Romero I. ⚽, Oso (A),
58', Williams I. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
58', Areso J. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
58', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
68', Sangante A. ↓, Carmona J. A. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Paredes A. ⚽, Alvarez Y. (A),
74', Paredes A. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
78', Oso ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
83', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
87', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
90', Romero I. 🟨,
90+3', Guilen N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.

Athletic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sevilla is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.

In this match, Athletic is the team to beat.

There will not play in Athletic: Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Vencedor U. (Inactive) Vivian D. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Gonzalez A. (Muscle Injury) Marcao (Foot Injury) Salas K. (Red Card) Vargas R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.27% Sevilla: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13
9	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 53.73%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Burgos - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
29.07.26	Racing Santander - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
25.07.26	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	2:2 ✺
22.07.26	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
15.08.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Utrecht - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Sevilla - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Córdoba - Sevilla	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.01.26	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	2:1
17.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	3:2
16.03.25	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	0:1
29.09.24	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:1
19.05.24	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	2:0
04.01.24	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	0:2
27.04.23	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	0:1

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