Match Info

LaLiga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Camp Nou (Barcelona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Angola	21:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin, T Sports
Belarus	23:00	Belarus 5
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 4
Cambodia	03:00	MyTV
Canada	16:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	Migu
Croatia	21:00	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	15:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Haiti	16:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	20:00	Disney+
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia, Infinity+, Italia 1
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	04:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	01:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Mozambique	22:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Papua New Guinea	06:00	TVWan Sports
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Suriname	17:00	SCCN
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	23:00	S Sport
Turkmenistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	17:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	16:00	ABC, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, FuboTV
Uzbekistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1, Zor TV
Venezuela	16:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Barcelona		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.57	5.75	4	Watch
	1.60	5.50	4.00
	1.55	5.5	4.2	Watch
	1.6	6.27	4.4
	1.61	5.6	4.29	Watch
	1.58	6.2	3.9
	1.6	5.99	4.52	Watch
	1.56	5.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)	5.8 ↑ (5.3)	4.2 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
60.6%

Draw
16.5%

Real Madrid
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.6%

18%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

16.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.1%	20.3%	15.6%

Barcelona - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 40 - 64.5%). Real will win (votes: 10 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 52.6% – 76.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Real (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Barcelona (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - over (5.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - Barcelona & Yes (2.20) (votes: 86%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Real (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia J. (G) 12. Espart X. 5. Cubarsi P. 18. Martin G. 2. Cancelo J. 8. Pedri 16. Rodri 7. Fermin 10. Lamine Yamal 11. Raphinha (C) 17. Gordon A.	13. Lunin A. (G) 8. Valverde F. (C) 16. Konate I. 4. Huijsen D. 17. Cucurella M. 20. Silva B. 14. Tchouameni A. 15. Guler A. 5. Bellingham J. 25. Diomande Y. 10. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
29. Abdelkarim H. 14. Adeyemi K. 3. Balde A. 22. Bernal M. 41. Campos A. 21. de Jong F. 4. Farinas B. 9. Gabriel Jesus 6. Gavi 32. Goren O. 25. Livakovic D. (G) 13. Szczesny W. (G)	12. Alexander-Arnold T. 6. Camavinga E. 18. Carreras A. 21. Diaz B. 24. Dumfries D. 3. Eder Militao 9. Endrick 19. Espi C. 26. Mestre S. (G) 27. Pitarch T. 22. Rudiger A. 39. Voloshyn I. (G)
Coaches
Flick H.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Espart X. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Raphinha ⚽, Pedri (A),
62', Valverde F. ↓, Dumfries D. ↑,
74', Fermin ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
80', Silva B. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
84', Gordon A. 🟨,
85', Gordon A. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
86', Raphinha ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Camavinga E. (A),
90+2', Cucurella M. 🟨,
90+4', Mbappe K. 🟨,
90+4', Diomande Y. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
90+4', Guler A. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
90+6', Balde A. 🟨,
90+6', Adeyemi K. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Real may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Barcelona has faced a series of away games on the road.

Barcelona carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Barcelona: Bardghji R. (Knee Injury) Christensen A. (Muscle Injury) Garcia E. (Muscle Injury) Kounde J. (Ankle Injury) Olmo D. (Groin Injury).

Confirmed absences for Real: Asencio R. (Broken Leg) Mendy F. (Hip Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury) Vinicius Junior (Red Card).

Our forecast points to a victory for Barcelona in today's match, at odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:33 (averaging 2.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barcelona against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:18 goals (averaging 2.1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	10	9	0	1	40:11	29	27
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	25:10	15	24

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Barcelona: 65.61% Real Madrid: 23.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.26	Betis - Barcelona	2:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Galatasaray - Barcelona	1:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Barcelona - Getafe	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Sevilla - Barcelona	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW
- Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Real Madrid - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.26	Real Madrid - Sevilla	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Roma - Real Madrid	3:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Real Madrid - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
10.05.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	2:0
Spanish Supercopa
11.01.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	3:2
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:1
11.05.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	4:3
Spanish Copa del Rey
26.04.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	3:2 ET
Spanish Supercopa
12.01.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:5
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Real Madrid - Barcelona	0:4

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