Match Info

LaLiga - Round 35

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Camp Nou (Barcelona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Tolo TV
Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	RDS App, RDS Info, TSN 2, TSN 3, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	Shabake 3
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	20 Mediaset, DAZN Italia, Infinity+
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Tanzania	TV3 Tanzania
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Uganda	Sanyuka TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1, Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Barcelona		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.75	4.2	Watch
	1.66	4.5	4.33
	1.65	4.7	4.45	Watch
	1.69	4.85	4.5
	1.72	4.69	4.26	Watch
	1.67	4.4	4
	1.73	4.86	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.81)	4.68 ↑ (4.24)	4.26 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
57%

Draw
20.5%

Real Madrid
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

22.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

21.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.6%	17%	6.4%

Barcelona - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 93 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 71 - 76.3%). Real will win (votes: 6 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 67.7% – 84.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Barcelona (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 24. Garcia E. 5. Cubarsi P. 18. Martin G. 2. Cancelo J. 6. Gavi 8. Pedri (C) 16. Fermín 20. Olmo D. 14. Rashford M. 7. Torres F.	1. Courtois T. (G) 12. Alexander-Arnold T. 17. Asencio R. 22. Rudiger A. 20. Garcia F. 21. Diaz B. 6. Camavinga E. 14. Tchouameni A. 5. Bellingham J. 16. Garcia G. 7. Vinicius Junior (C)
Substitutes
33. Aller E. (G) 4. Araujo R. 3. Balde A. 19. Bardghji R. 22. Bernal M. 17. Casado M. 21. de Jong F. 42. Espart X. 23. Kounde J. 9. Lewandowski R. 11. Raphinha 25. Szczesny W. (G)	4. Alaba D. 18. Carreras A. 28. Cestero Sancho J. 24. Huijsen D. 35. Jimenez D. 13. Lunin A. (G) 30. Mastantuono F. 43. Mestre S. (G) 38. Palacios C. 45. Pitarch T.
Coaches
Flick H.	Arbeloa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Rashford M. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
40', Camavinga E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Asencio R. 🟨,
52', Olmo D. 🟨,
55', Bellingham J. 🟨,
64', Rashford M. ↓, Raphinha ↑,
64', Olmo D. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
70', Camavinga E. ↓, Pitarch T. ↑,
77', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
77', Gavi ↓, Bernal M. ↑,
79', Diaz B. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
79', Garcia G. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
81', Alexander-Arnold T. 🟨,
81', Raphinha 🟨,
88', Fermín ↓, Balde A. ↑,

Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

Real is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4.

Barcelona is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Real has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Barcelona: Lamine Yamal (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Toe Injury) Ceballos D. (Coach's decision) Eder Militao (Muscle Injury) Guler A. (Muscle Injury) Mendy F. (Muscle Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury) Valverde F. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Christensen A. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Barcelona will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 44:35. (average 2.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 2:2.2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Barcelona: 70.96% Real Madrid: 20.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31:7	24	21
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18:8	10	15

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.39%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
02.05.26	Osasuna - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Getafe - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.26	Barcelona - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
03.05.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Betis - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.04.26	Bayern Munich - Real Madrid	4:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.04.26	Real Madrid - Girona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Supercopa
11.01.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	3:2
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:1
11.05.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	4:3
Spanish Copa del Rey
26.04.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	3:2 ET
Spanish Supercopa
12.01.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:5
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Real Madrid - Barcelona	0:4
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Barcelona - Real Madrid	2:1

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