The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid 74.6%
Draw 14.8%
RB Leipzig 10.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
72.6%
16.4%
11.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.6%
16.4%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Real Madrid - RB Leipzig Predictions
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Real is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by RB Leipzig have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
RB Leipzig could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Real enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Real has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
League phase
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Real Madrid
2
2
0
0
6:4
2
6
21
RB Leipzig
2
1
0
1
2:4
-2
3
Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now
Real Madrid: 8.71% RB Leipzig: 0.78%
Last Results with these Odds
Real Madrid - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 72.56%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.