Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff (Barcelona)


	Barcelona B		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.5
	2.6	2.95	2.45
	2.8	3	2.4
	2.68	2.91	2.53
	2.75	2.9	2.55
	2.71	3.02	2.54
	2.8	3	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.21)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.49 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
33.2%

Draw
30.6%

Eldense
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.4%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

31.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona B's form might have worsened.

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eldense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eldense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	13.3%	73.3%

Barcelona B - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Barcelona B will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Eldense will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eldense: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent matches Barcelona B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eldense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.12.22	Intercity - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Barcelona B - Numancia	1:2 ✺
19.11.22	Barcelona B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Osasuna B - Barcelona B	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Barcelona B - Cornellà	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWT
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.12.22	Eldense - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	La Nucía - Eldense	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	Eldense - Cornellà	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Coruxo - Eldense	2:3 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Alcoyano - Eldense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.04.17	Barcelona B - Eldense	12:0
06.11.16	Eldense - Barcelona B	0:1
07.05.16	Barcelona B - Eldense	1:0
19.12.15	Eldense - Barcelona B	4:2

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