Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff (Barcelona)


	Barcelona B		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.62	3.75
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.11	2.95	3.4
	2.16	3.23	3.42
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.08	3.25	3.28
	2.12	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
43.1%

Draw
30.1%

Numancia
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

27.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Barcelona B - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Barcelona B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barcelona B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona B won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.11.22	Barcelona B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Osasuna B - Barcelona B	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Barcelona B - Cornellà	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	SD Logroñés - Barcelona B	4:0 ✺
15.10.22	Barcelona B - Sabadell	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTLL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.11.22	Numancia - Sabadell	3:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	San Juan - Numancia	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Atlético Baleares - Numancia	4:1 ✺
29.10.22	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.03.18	Barcelona B - Numancia	2:2
11.10.17	Numancia - Barcelona B	1:0
19.04.15	Numancia - Barcelona B	1:0
15.11.14	Barcelona B - Numancia	1:1
06.04.14	Barcelona B - Numancia	3:0
02.11.13	Numancia - Barcelona B	1:0
13.04.13	Numancia - Barcelona B	0:1

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