Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.6
	2.05	2.87	3.5
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.05	2.95	3.55
	2.12	2.96	4.05
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2	3.06	3.75
	2.07	2.95	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.92)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	3.62 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
43.8%

Draw
31%

Sabadell
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Numancia - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Numancia won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Numancia have a series of guest games.

Numancia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Numancia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	San Juan - Numancia	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Atlético Baleares - Numancia	4:1 ✺
29.10.22	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Calahorra - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLT
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.22	Sabadell - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	La Nucía - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Sabadell - Intercity	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Barcelona B - Sabadell	1:4 ✺
09.10.22	Sabadell - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.15	Numancia - Sabadell	3:0
06.09.14	Sabadell - Numancia	0:3
23.02.14	Sabadell - Numancia	0:0
21.09.13	Numancia - Sabadell	3:1
05.05.13	Sabadell - Numancia	2:1
02.12.12	Numancia - Sabadell	2:1
27.05.12	Sabadell - Numancia	N/A

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