Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Montañeros		Lugo B

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.25
	2.24	2.94	3.35
	2.21	2.97	3.34	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.23	3.22	3.22
	2.22	2.85	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.05)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañeros
41.5%

Draw
30.7%

Lugo B
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañeros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Lugo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeros than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Montañeros - Lugo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).

Recent performances by Montañeros have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lugo B is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Montañeros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Montañeros might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montañeros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Montaneros	5	1	0	4	7:11	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Coruña Montañeros
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.02.26	Gran Peña - Montañeros	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Montañeros - Silva SD	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Céltiga - Montañeros	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Juventud Cambados - Montañeros	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Montañeros - Boiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTTL
- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.02.26	Lugo B - Arosa	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Arteixo - Lugo B	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Lugo B - Noia	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Lugo B - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Barbadás - Lugo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Lugo B - Montañeros	1:0

Montañeros - Lugo B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide