Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Bari		Foggia

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.33
	1.68	3.4	4.5
	1.64	3.6	4.4
	1.6	3.89	5.15
	1.6	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.98	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	4.85 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
56.2%

Draw
25%

Foggia
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

17%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foggia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bari - Foggia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Bari in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Foggia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bari is a favorite.

Foggia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bari won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
17.10.21	Campobasso - Bari	1:3 ✺
10.10.21	Bari - Turris	4:2 ✺
03.10.21	Bari - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
29.09.21	ACR Messina - Bari	0:2 ✺
26.09.21	Bari - Paganese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWT
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
17.10.21	Foggia - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Palermo - Foggia	3:0 ✺
03.10.21	Foggia - ACR Messina	3:1 ✺
29.09.21	Fidelis Andria - Foggia	0:3 ✺
26.09.21	Foggia - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
19.05.21	Bari - Foggia	3:1
Italian Serie C Group C
27.02.21	Bari - Foggia	1:0
01.11.20	Foggia - Bari	1:0
Italian Serie B
21.04.18	Foggia - Bari	1:1
26.11.17	Bari - Foggia	1:0
Coppa Italia
09.08.15	Bari - Foggia	1:2

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