The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Foggia 26.3%
Draw 29.8%
Monopoli 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
29.2%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
28%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
66.7%
26.7%
Foggia - Monopoli Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Foggia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Monopoli will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.7% โ 95.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Piana E. (G)
5. Angileri A.
37. Bordo L.
19. Calcagni R.
20. Cascella R.
11. Fall M.
15. Greco J.
99. Imputato A.
35. Piccinini S.
17. Tirelli M.
16. Valenti B.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G)
3. Di Santo E.
24. Gagliano M. (G)
9. Longo S.
31. Oyewale S.
18. Paukstys S.
34. Ronco D.
33. Rossi D.
21. Scipioni E.
10. Volpe G.
45. Yeboah P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, D'Amico F. ⚽,
31', Tirelli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rizzo F. ↓, Staver C. ↑,
53', Oliva M. ↓, Byar N. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Fall M. ⚽,
58', Cascella R. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Winkelmann T. ⚽,
65', Bordo L. 🟨,
72', Bordo L. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
78', Calcagni R. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
79', Cascella R. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
79', Olivieri E. ↓, Panico C. ↑,
82', Angileri A. ↓, Oyewale S. ↑,
82', Imputato A. ↓, Ronco D. ↑,
83', Fossati D. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
84', D'Amico F. ↓, Morelli G. ↑,
84', Morelli G. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1.
Foggia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Monopoli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Monopoli could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
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Piana E. (G) 
Fall M. 
Valenti B. 
Oyewale S. 
Paukstys S. 
Yeboah P. 
