Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Vingo G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Bari		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.20	7.25
	1.33	4.30	7.00	Watch
	1.43	4.25	10.49
	1.29	4.67	10	Watch
	1.42	3.65	10.00
	1.44	4.00	8.00	Watch
	1.36	4.30	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)	4.2 ↑ (3.85)	8.59 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
67.2%

Draw
22%

Nuova Cosenza
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.9%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

22.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bari - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Bari will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 6. Mogos V. 72. Cocetta N. 79. Elia M. 14. Anzolin M. 5. Darboe E. 44. Mendicino L. 25. Maggiore G. (C) 21. Della Morte M. 7. Butic K. 11. Tribuzzi A.	1. Rizzo M. (G) 67. Clemente G. 33. Dalmazzi A. 26. Dametto P. (C) 5. Contiliano N. 6. Ndow A. 15. D'Alena A. 3. Giannini E. 10. Energe A. 17. Petrovic T. 7. McJannet E.
Substitutes
24. Bianchi F. 32. Colangiuli V. 8. Grgic L. 19. Mane M. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 95. Prisco V. 91. Spadavecchia P.	9. Achour S. 11. Almaviva M. 47. Barone A. 13. Cogoni A. 41. Contiero E. 24. Dzepar O. 12. Iliev V. (G) 29. Palazzino F. 23. Palmieri R. 77. Pozzi A. 14. Quieto D. 21. Ragone D. 22. Rantuccio C. (G)
Coaches
Rastelli M.	Coppitelli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Giannini E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Maggiore G. ⚽,
54', Ndow A. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
60', Giannini E. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,
73', Mendicino L. 🟨,
74', Della Morte M. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
80', Mendicino L. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
80', Maggiore G. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
80', D'Alena A. ↓, Dzepar O. ↑,
80', Energe A. ↓, Cogoni A. ↑,
81', Dametto P. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
84', Bianchi F. 🟨,
85', Anzolin M. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
85', Darboe E. ↓, Prisco V. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 19th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.

Bari is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Cosenza is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bari could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Bari enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Bari in today's match, at odds of 1.32.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Bari has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bari against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bari	8	5	1	2	11:6	5	16
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
19.09.26	Sorrento - Bari	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Bari - Potenza	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Altamura - Bari	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Bari - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Bari - Picerno	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWW
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
19.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Scafatese	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Sorrento - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	1:0
28.09.24	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
27.04.24	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	4:1
23.12.23	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
12.02.23	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
10.09.22	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	0:1
Coppa Italia
07.08.16	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	1:0

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