Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Scafatese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.40
	2.38	3.05	2.63	Watch
	2.89	3.19	2.53
	2.32	3.21	2.9	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.50
	2.61	3.05	2.43	Watch
	2.60	3.15	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.11)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)	2.56 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
35.2%

Draw
29.1%

Scafatese
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Cosenza's form might have worsened.

Scafatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scafatese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Cosenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scafatese than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scafatese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nuova Cosenza - Scafatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rizzo M. (G) 4. Pascalau R. 33. Dalmazzi A. 26. Dametto P. (C) 67. Clemente G. 15. D'Alena A. 23. Palmieri R. 3. Giannini E. 10. Energe A. 7. McJannet E. 17. Petrovic T.	22. Forte F. (G) 35. Novella M. 20. Scognamiglio M. 13. Bacchetti L. 99. Ferrara A. 27. Palmieri C. 25. Toscano M. (C) 15. Tripi F. 5. Proia F. 90. Emmausso M. 16. Convitto R.
Substitutes
9. Achour S. 11. Almaviva M. 47. Barone A. 13. Cogoni A. 41. Contiero E. 5. Contiliano N. 49. De Sensi G. (G) 24. Dzepar O. 12. Iliev V. (G) 77. Pozzi A. 14. Quieto D. 21. Ragone D.	1. Becchi G. (G) 23. Brunet J. 98. De Chiara E. 8. Esposito A. 55. Guerra V. 91. Longo S. 10. Lucas Dambros 28. Molinaro S. 11. Ortisi P. 6. Suhs J. 32. Terribili C. 7. Volpicelli E.
Coaches
Coppitelli F.	Facciolo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Clemente G. ⚽, Giannini E. (A),
33', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
44', Tripi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Convitto R. ↓, Volpicelli E. ↑,
46', Tripi F. ↓, Molinaro S. ↑,
46', Ferrara A. ↓, Guerra V. ↑,
46', D'Alena A. ↓, Contiliano N. ↑,
59', Petrovic T. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
59', Palmieri R. ↓, Dzepar O. ↑,
60', Rizzo M. 🟨,
65', Palmieri C. ↓, Lucas Dambros ↑,
69', Bacchetti L. ↓, Suhs J. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Emmausso M. ⚽,
77', Pascalau R. 🟨,
78', Energe A. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 13th).

Cosenza has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Scafatese have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Scafatese	7	2	4	1	10:9	1	10
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Sorrento - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Nuova Cosenza - Potenza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Scafatese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Scafatese - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Catania - Scafatese	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Casertana - Scafatese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Campobasso - Scafatese	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.08.26	Scafatese - Picerno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWTLL

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