The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sorrento 31.6%
Draw 31.6%
Bari 36.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.3%
29.4%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
29.7%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Sorrento - Bari Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Harrasser S. (G) 33. Viscardi A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 27. Loreto C. 32. Paglino S. 8. Cuccurullo M. (C) 28. Capezzi L. 21. Potenza A. 3. Crecco L. 19. Bolzan A. 7. Starita E.
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 72. Cocetta N. 3. Mantovani V. (C) 79. Elia M. 6. Mogos V. 5. Darboe E. 44. Mendicino L. 25. Maggiore G. 11. Tribuzzi A. 7. Butic K. 21. Della Morte M.
Substitutes
4. Bacci J. 48. Boccarusso J. (G) 23. Cangianiello S. 31. Castaldi G. 13. Del Sorbo L. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 24. Evangelisti N. 11. Falasca M. 6. Fusco F. 99. Marchesi F. 9. Parker S. 2. Puzone M. 10. Ricci F. 18. Tonni M.
24. Bianchi F. 32. Colangiuli V. 77. Esposito M. 19. Mane M. 10. Manzari G. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 95. Prisco V. 91. Spadavecchia P.
Coaches
Maiuri V.
Rastelli M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Mantovani V. ⚽,
34', Darboe E. 🟨,
45', Viscardi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mantovani V. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Starita E. ⚽,
64', Bolzan A. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
64', Potenza A. ↓, Cangianiello S. ↑,
64', Maggiore G. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
64', Della Morte M. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
76', Starita E. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
80', Tribuzzi A. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
81', Paglino S. ↓, Puzone M. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Butic K. ⚽, Darboe E. (A),
90+3', Puzone M. 🟨,
Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Serie B and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
Sorrento is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Bari is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sorrento may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Bari
11
6
3
2
14:7
7
21
3
Sorrento
11
6
2
3
15:11
4
20
Last Results with these Odds
Bari - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.26%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.