Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Bari		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.33
	1.72	3.3	4.4
	1.72	3.1	4.3
	1.69	3.54	4.92
	1.75	3.1	4.6
	1.73	3.44	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)	3.3 ↓ (3.55)	4.54 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
52.6%

Draw
27.5%

Virtus Francavilla
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

26.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

15.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bari - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Bari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtus Francavilla is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bari is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
26.02.22	Foggia - Bari	2:2 ✺
22.02.22	Bari - Picerno	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Bari - Campobasso	2:3 ✺
15.02.22	Turris - Bari	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Monopoli - Bari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLWT
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
26.02.22	Virtus Francavilla - Palermo	2:1 ✺
22.02.22	Virtus Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
15.02.22	Virtus Francavilla - Avellino	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Taranto - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.10.21	Virtus Francavilla - Bari	3:0
24.01.21	Bari - Virtus Francavilla	4:1
27.09.20	Virtus Francavilla - Bari	2:3
02.02.20	Bari - Virtus Francavilla	2:0
22.09.19	Virtus Francavilla - Bari	1:0

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